近期原油价格走势主要由埃及局势动荡及北美库存减少两大因素推动。未来,其长期走势仍将主要取决于需求的变化。当前,全球经济增长持续疲弱,国际货币基金组织下调了2013年全球经济增速预测;大宗商品普遍陷入低迷状态,反映其整体水平的CRB指数今年以来跌幅近6%。然而,在此背景下,近期 Recent crude oil prices are mainly driven by the turmoil in Egypt and the reduction in inventories in North America. In the future, its long-term trend will still largely depend on changes in demand. At present, the global economic growth continues to be sluggish. The International Monetary Fund has revised down its forecast for global economic growth in 2013; commodities generally have been in a sluggish state. The CRB index, which reflects its overall level, dropped nearly 6% this year. However, in this context, the near future