随着预测决策理论和方法的广泛应用,现在已发展成为理论分析、方法技术与实际应用相结合的专门学科。我国的经济预测在20世纪80年代起步后,取得了很大进展,包括经济计量模型、时间序列模型、人工神经网络模型和马尔可夫预测法等各种各样的预测方法,业已广泛应用于经济、交通、? With the extensive application of the theory and method of forecasting decision, it has now developed into a specialized discipline combining theoretical analysis, methodological techniques and practical applications. A great deal of progress has been made in China’s economic forecast since the 1980s. Various forecast methods, including econometric models, time series models, artificial neural network models and Markov forecasting methods, have been widely used in Economy, traffic,?