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风险可接受水平是交通事故研究的重要研究内容之一,本文首先阐述国内外风险可接受水平的研究情况,然后分析了我国交通事故的现状;对我国2005—2013年由交通事故所造成的死亡人数以及每年的人口总数进行数据分析;在最低合理可行原则(ALARP原则)的基础上,采用平均数算法确定我国交通事故可接受风险标准的上限值为1x10~(-5),下限值为1x10~(-6);最后,通过FN曲线确定我国交通事故可接受风险标准值。
The acceptable level of risk is one of the important research contents in traffic accident research. First of all, this paper elaborates the research on the acceptable level of risk at home and abroad, and then analyzes the current situation of traffic accidents in our country; and analyzes the death caused by traffic accidents in China from 2005 to 2013 The number of people and the total population of each year to conduct data analysis; based on the principle of the lowest reasonable (ALARP principle), using the average algorithm to determine the acceptable risk of traffic accidents in our country the upper limit of 1 × 10 ~ (-5), the lower limit Is 1x10 ~ (-6). Finally, the standard of acceptable risk of traffic accidents in China is determined by FN curve.