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文章利用“十县百村”的大样本调研数据研究农民就业行为的动因及影响因素。首先,通过统计分析得出,被调查者务农的最主要三个动因是照顾小孩、缺少外出务工的机会和缺少外出务工的技能。而被调查者从事非农职业的主要动因是农业赚钱少等经济原因。进而文章采用Probit模型,实证得出影响被调查就业行为的主要因素有:年龄、是否有在读书的小孩、拥有土地面积、性别、所在村自然村数量、所在村是否是新农村示范村,特别是从边际效应来看,有小孩的被调查者比没有小孩的被调查者务农的概率高约6.9%-8.4%,新农村示范村的被调查比非示范村的被调查者务农的概率高约7.4%-8%。最后针对农村劳动力转移、农村教育、新农村建设等提出了相关的政策建议。
In this paper, we use the large sample survey data of “Ten counties and 100 villages” to study the motivation and influencing factors of farmer employment behavior. First of all, through statistical analysis, it is concluded that the three main motives of respondents in farm work are caring for children, lack of opportunities for migrant workers and lack of skills for migrant workers. The respondents engaged in non-agricultural occupations of the main driver of agriculture is less economical and other economic reasons. Furthermore, the article uses the Probit model to empirically conclude that the main factors influencing the surveyed employment behavior are: age, whether there are children studying, land area, sex, number of villages in the village, whether the village is a model village for new rural areas, especially In terms of marginal effect, respondents with children have a 6.9% -8.4% higher probability of being farmers than those without children. The probability of being surveyed by new rural model villages is higher than that of non-model villages 7.4% -8%. Finally, some policy recommendations are put forward in view of the transfer of rural labor force, rural education and new rural construction.