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中国正处于社会经济全面高速发展阶段，２１ 世纪仍将面临不同程度的自然灾害及人为事故的影响。虽然，在１９９９ 年即联合国“国际减灾十年”的最后一年召开了日内瓦“世界减灾大会”，并通过了一系列宣言及声明，但笔者认为，同近十年兴起的环境保护科学与管理相比，中国在灾害及事故的预测预报、规划战略、科技管理、文化教育诸方面尚有不少差距。为此，就其重要方面作一论述，并对国家“十五”计划未纳入安全减灾目标提出建议，以期引起科技界、决策管理界的关注。
China is in a stage of rapid social and economic development. In the 21st century, China will still face varying degrees of natural disasters and man-made accidents. Although the “World Conference on Disaster Reduction” was held in Geneva in 1999, the last year of the UN Decade for International Decen- trasies, and a series of declarations and statements were passed, the author believes that with the rise of science and management in environmental protection In contrast, there are still many gaps in China in forecasting and forecasting disasters and accidents, planning strategies, science and technology management, and cultural education. To this end, made an account of its important aspects and made recommendations on the failure of the national “Tenth Five-year Plan” to include the goal of safety and disaster reduction so as to arouse the concern of the scientific and technological circles and decision-making management circles.