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美债危机的前途无非是三种:好转、恶化、照旧。照旧吗?有可能。美债危机的爆点是违约,但共和民主两党最后在悬崖边达成了协议,用新债还旧债的模式得以继续。只要美国拥有印钞权,只要两党人士不过于利令智昏并对国际国内智慧的声音置若罔闻,这个游戏就可玩下去。美债能照发,但美元贬值仍是大概率事件。在此情景下,中国的外储多元化策略,促进产业转型升级的策略,
The future of the U.S. debt crisis is nothing more than three: improvement, deterioration, or as usual. Is it still possible? The explosion point of the U.S. debt crisis is a breach of contract. However, the Democratic Republicans and Democrats finally reached an agreement on the cliff side to continue with the mode of new debt service. As long as the United States owns the right of printing money, this game can be played as long as the members of the two parties do nothing but fool around and turn a blind eye to the wisdom of international and domestic wisdom. The U.S. debt can follow the example, but the depreciation of the U.S. dollar is still a high rate event. In this scenario, China’s strategy of diversifying foreign reserves, promoting industrial restructuring and upgrading,