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为研究我国房地产市场周期波动规律,选用1994-2010年的相关统计数据,运用因子分析法进行实证分析。分析结果表明我国房地产市场确实存在经济周期,大致为3～5年,其周期越来越短,且与宏观经济和国家宏观调控政策的关系越来越紧密。
In order to study the regularity of the cycle of real estate market in our country, we select the relevant statistical data from 1994 to 2010 and use the factor analysis method to do the empirical analysis. The analysis shows that there is indeed a business cycle in China’s real estate market with an average period of 3-5 years and its cycle is getting shorter and shorter, and its relationship with macroeconomic and state macro-control policies is getting closer and closer.