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省域经济综合竞争力预测的重点和难点是构建指标评价体系和预测模型,而预测模型对指标的适应性及其评价方法决定了预测结果的准确性。提升中国省域经济综合竞争力预测的科学性,必须对评价指标体系和预测模型的适应性进行分析。文章既对预测指标的类型、特点进行深入分析,又对诸多预测模型的类型和特点进行分析,同时还对预测指标与预测模型的相互适应性进行分析研究,以期能建立更加科学、合理的省域经济综合竞争力预测模型。
The key and difficult point in forecasting the competitiveness of provincial economy is to construct the index evaluation system and forecasting model. The adaptability of the forecasting model to the index and its evaluation method determine the accuracy of the forecasting result. To enhance the scientific predictability of the comprehensive competitiveness of China’s provincial economy, we must analyze the adaptability of the evaluation index system and the forecasting model. The article not only analyzes the types and characteristics of forecasting indexes in-depth, but also analyzes the types and characteristics of many forecasting models. At the same time, it also analyzes the mutual adaptability of forecasting indexes and forecasting models in order to establish a more scientific and reasonable province Prediction Model of Synthetic Competitiveness of Regional Economy.