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我们要树立全面的发展观,不宜再把GDP增长速度作为经济发展的惟一目标,要适当淡化对速度和数量的要求,强化对结构和质量的要求,通过结构和质量的改善来体现数量的增长和规模的扩大。 我国经济增长速度在新世纪初能否拐回到前20年平均接近10％的增长速度?从个别年份看,特别从个别地区和行业来看,不能排除出现两位数增长速度的可能,但从中长期来看,这种期望是不现实的。 一种意见认为,以日本等国经验为例,随着发展水平提高和增长方式从粗放转向集约,今后中国经济不可能继续保持高速增长的势头,而将转向中速或低速增长。另一种看法,从中国人力资源开发潜力、市场容量拓宽潜力、高储蓄资金潜力、技术差距的后发优势潜力等方面进行考察,并考虑到工业化、城市化、市
We should establish a comprehensive outlook on development. We should not regard the rate of GDP growth as the sole goal of economic development. We should appropriately dilute the requirements on speed and quantity, strengthen the requirements on structure and quality, and reflect the quantity growth through structural and qualitative improvements And the expansion of the scale. At the beginning of the new century can China’s economic growth rate fall back to an average of nearly 10% in the first two decades? From an individual year’s perspective, we can not rule out the possibility of double-digit growth rate, especially in individual regions and industries In the medium to long term, this expectation is unrealistic. One opinion holds that taking the experience of Japan and other countries as an example, as the level of development increases and the mode of growth shifts from extensive economy to intensive economy, it is impossible for China’s economy to maintain its momentum of rapid growth in the future and will shift to medium- or low-speed growth. Another view, from the potential of human resource development in China, the market potential to broaden the potential of high savings potential, the technical advantages of the potential advantages of backwardness and other aspects of inspection, and taking into account the industrialization, urbanization, city