2008年5月,越南主要经济指标均超过了安全警戒线。金融市场急剧动荡的原因在于越南贸易赤字增加、央行调控滞后、物价高企。越南金融动荡不会引发亚洲金融危机,对中国的影响有限。借鉴越南教训,中国应严防通胀、防止境外热钱、对人民币升值采取谨慎态度、防止股市大起大落。 In May 2008, Vietnam’s major economic indicators exceeded the security warning line. The reason for the sharp turmoil in the financial markets is the increase in the trade deficit in Vietnam, the delay in control by the central bank and the high price. Vietnam’s financial turmoil will not trigger the Asian financial crisis and its impact on China will be limited. Learn from the lessons of Vietnam, China should prevent inflation, prevent hot money abroad, take a cautious approach to RMB appreciation to prevent the stock market ups and downs.