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今年一季度,石油和化工进出口贸易呈现较快增长,实现贸易总额1037.7亿美元,达到历史同期最好水平,但是由于内外需复苏不是同步增长,行业进口贸易恢复快于出口贸易,因此,贸易逆差也进一步扩大。尽管行业进出口贸易恢复增长令人鼓舞,但仍需注意几个方面的问题:一是出口贸易恢复速变缓慢,基础仍不稳固;二是大宗产品价格较快上涨,输入性通张压力加大;三是人民币升值预期增加,汇率变动对行业进出口贸易影响弊大于利。
In the first quarter of this year, the import and export trade of petroleum and chemical industry witnessed a rapid growth with a total trade volume of 103.77 billion U.S. dollars, reaching the best level in the same period of history. However, due to the fact that domestic and foreign demand recovery did not increase at the same pace and trade in the industry recovered faster than export trade, trade Deficit is also further expanded. Although the recovery of import and export trade in the industry is encouraging, we still need to pay attention to several issues: First, the rapid recovery of export trade is sluggish and the foundation is still not stable; second, the prices of bulk commodities rise rapidly and the input pressure increases Thirdly, RMB appreciation is expected to increase, the impact of exchange rate changes on the import and export trade in the industry more harm than good.