根据天津市住宅市场化各项指标近3年来的发展变化情况,充分考虑影响天津住宅市场化进程的各种社会经济因素的作用,应用趋势外推等预测方法,对各项指标未来3年的发展趋势及可能达到的水平分别预测如下: 住宅自有率由于一系列房改政策的落实,居民收入的稳定增加,房源充足和房价降低,住宅消费信贷的有力支持,广大居民消费倾向的上升等因素共同作用,居民购买住宅将趋于活跃,住房自有率将稳定 According to the development and changes of various indicators of housing market in Tianjin over the past three years, we fully consider the various social and economic factors that affect the marketization of housing in Tianjin, and apply forecasting methods such as trend extrapolation to evaluate the impact of various indicators on the future three years Development trend and possible levels are predicted as follows: Home ownership rate due to a series of housing reform policies, steady increase in household income, adequate housing and housing prices, strong support for residential consumer credit, rising consumer spending trends Factors together, residents will tend to buy residential activity, housing ownership rate will be stable