2008年年初以来,由于国内接连发生的严重自然灾害的冲击和世界金融危机的不利影响,我国经济增长和财政收入增长呈逐季回落的态势。但从总体来看,我国经济基本面是好的,支持经济较快增长的长期因素依然在起作用。本文认为,为了防止经济出现过度下滑,宏观政策重新定位势在必行,财政政策要转为适度扩张,并加大支出结构调整力度。 Since the beginning of 2008, due to the successive serious domestic natural disasters and the adverse effects of the global financial crisis, the growth of our economy and the growth of fiscal revenue have been on a downward trend by seasons. However, overall, China’s economic fundamentals are good and long-term factors that support the rapid economic growth are still at work. This paper argues that in order to prevent the economy from falling too much, it is imperative to reposition macroeconomic policies, to shift fiscal policy to a modest expansion and to increase expenditure structure adjustment.