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本文根据对国内外经济形势的分析和截至2007年11月底的海关统计数据,对我国进出口总额,中美和中欧贸易以及主要进出口商品进行了测算。提出了六点2008年我国对外贸易中需要关注的问题,分别是:对外贸易应遵循可持续发展原则;国际商品期货价格持续高位加大我国经济运行风险;我国产品质量安全问题值得关注;我国企业“走出去”面临多种风险;人民币升值不是解决我国贸易平衡问题的有效工具;贸易摩擦问题依然严峻。
Based on the analysis of the economic situation at home and abroad and the statistics of the customs as of the end of November 2007, this article estimates the total volume of China’s exports, the trade between China and the United States, the Central Europe and the major import and export commodities. Put forward six issues that China needs to pay attention to in its foreign trade in 2008, namely: foreign trade should follow the principle of sustainable development; international commodity futures prices continue to increase the risk of China’s economic operation; China’s product quality and safety issues deserve attention; Chinese enterprises “Going out ” faces a variety of risks; RMB appreciation is not an effective tool to solve China’s trade balance; the issue of trade friction is still grim.