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经济周期是现代经济的一个普遍现象,一直以来都是各经济学派研究的重点内容之一,并形成了不同经济周期理论。建国以来,我国与西方成熟的市场经济国家相比,我国经济的发展是非直线式的,尤其是改革开放以来,中国经济增长进入了快速发展的时期,但稳定性要远逊于美国等发达国家。国内学者通过我国经济周期波动的研究,得出了许多具有代表性的结论。本文简要地回顾了中国经济周期的概况,分析了与中国经济周期(改革开放以后)密切相关的主要宏观经济因素,并在此基础上针对当前经济形势提出了相关的政策建议。
Economic cycle is a common phenomenon in modern economy. It has always been one of the key contents of various economic schools and formed different theories of economic cycle. Since the founding of New China, compared with the mature market economy countries in our country, the development of our economy has been non-linear. Especially since the reform and opening up, China’s economic growth has entered a period of rapid development. However, its stability is much lower than that of developed countries such as the United States . Domestic scholars have drawn many representative conclusions through the study of the fluctuation of the economic cycle in our country. This article briefly reviews the general situation of China’s economic cycle, analyzes the major macroeconomic factors that are closely related to China’s economic cycle (after the reform and opening up), and on this basis, makes relevant policy recommendations in light of the current economic situation.