论文部分内容阅读
本文运用协整分析方法,对进出口贸易与我国汇率之间关系进行的实证分析表明:进出口增长与汇率波动之间存在着长期稳定的均衡关系,出口贸易与汇率在很大程度上是互为因果的关系—出口和汇率的增长都会引起对方的下降,而且汇率的影响大于出口。从短期来看,汇率的提升会促进出口的增长。
This paper uses the co-integration analysis method to analyze the relationship between the import and export trade and the exchange rate of our country. The empirical analysis shows that there is a long-term and stable equilibrium relationship between the growth of import and export and the fluctuation of exchange rate. Export trade and exchange rate are to a large extent mutually As a causal relationship - exports and exchange rate growth will cause each other’s decline, and the impact of exchange rates greater than exports. In the short term, higher exchange rates will boost export growth.