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本文根据潜山县1986～1995年连续10a的气象资料和该县塘岭茶场同期春茶记载,应用相关分析、逐步回归分析及通径分析等统计学原理,设计计算机分析程序,分析了春茶产量及春茶中高档茶(4月20日～5月10日)产量与气象因子之间的关系。得出两个最优回归方程,塘岭茶场可以对春茶产量及春茶中高档茶产量进行预测,同时,早春采用有效保水增湿措施,有利于春茶及中高档茶产量的提高。
Based on the meteorological data of successive 10a from 1986 to 1995 in Qianshan County and the records of spring tea in Tongling Tea House during the same period of this year, the author applied the statistical analysis such as correlation analysis, stepwise regression analysis and path analysis to design a computer analysis program, Yield and the relationship between the yield and the meteorological factors of middle and high-grade teas (April 20-May 10) in spring tea. The two optimal regression equations are obtained. Tangling Chachang can predict the yield of spring tea and the production of high grade tea in spring tea. At the same time, the effective moisture retention and moisturizing measures in early spring are favorable to the increase of spring tea and medium and high grade tea production.