文章依据塔河干流径流量、生态输水量和农业用水量等资料,分析评价了塔里木河干流年径流量的变化趋势。旨在客观评价当前流域水资源状况,尤其客观反映实施综合治理以来干流的水资源利用情况,以期为流域的水资源管理提供决策参考。 Based on the data of runoff, ecological water conveyance and agricultural water consumption in the mainstream of Tarim River, the paper analyzes and evaluates the trend of annual runoff in the mainstream of Tarim River. The purpose of this paper is to objectively evaluate the current situation of water resources in river basins, especially to objectively reflect the utilization of water resources in the mainstream since the implementation of the comprehensive management so as to provide a reference for the decision-making of water resources management in river basins.