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葡萄牙主权债务危机的深化将对欧元区,尤其是西班牙,产生较大的传染性风险,欧元汇率也将承受下行压力。由于葡萄牙与我国经贸联系总体比重较小,葡萄牙债务危机对我国直接影响有限,但应警惕其通过西班牙等国对我国产生间接影响。一、2010年财政赤字高于预定目标葡萄牙在2005年的财政赤字高达GDP的5.9%,远远超过欧盟3%的上限。2005年新当选的政府在当年实行了全面的改革,尤其针对政府的财政状
The deepening of Portugal’s sovereign debt crisis will have a greater contagion risk to the euro area, especially Spain, and the euro will also be under downward pressure. Due to the relatively small proportion of Portugal’s economic and trade ties with China as a whole, the direct impact of the Portuguese debt crisis on China is limited. However, it should be wary of its indirect impact on China through Spain and other countries. First, the 2010 fiscal deficit is higher than the target Portugal’s fiscal deficit in 2005 up to 5.9% of GDP, far beyond the EU’s 3% ceiling. The newly elected government in 2005 implemented a full-scale reform that year, especially for the government’s fiscal status