本文认为，东亚的崛起是历史的必然，世界历史发展的大趋势和现实环境决定了这一点。作者指出，作为东亚文明象征的儒家文化具有十分丰富的内涵和强大的生命力，其活力和潜力表现在民族性格的塑造、管理经验的提升、生态资源的平衡、民族文化的建构等方面；儒家文化在东亚国家和地区现代化进程中发挥作用的机制是制度导向、心理潜能、人才中介和文化传感；东亚社会发展有日本、韩国、新加坡、台湾等模式 This article argues that the rise of East Asia is a historical inevitability and that the trend of world history and the real environment determine this point. The author points out that the Confucian culture, as a symbol of East Asian civilization, has rich connotation and strong vitality. Its vitality and potential are manifested in such aspects as the shaping of national character, the improvement of management experience, the balance of ecological resources and the construction of national culture. Confucianism The mechanisms that play a role in the modernization of East Asian countries and regions are institutional orientation, psychological potential, talent agency and cultural sensation. East Asian social development includes Japan, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan