苏联科学院通讯院士古宾,根据几十年来对中亚地区(地球的地震活动最频繁的地区之一)已发生过的地震所作的研究,发现了一个规律:在类型和范围都相同的活动地质构造内所发生的地震的类型也相同——其震源、能量、震动强度、重复率均相似。这个发现,可以明显提高划定地震危险区的范围和轮廓的精度,更加准确地预报出地震的强度和可能发生的灾难的其它参数。古宾和他的学生们很准确地预报了近些年来所发生过 Gubin, a communications fellow at the Soviet Academy of Sciences, based on decades of research on the earthquakes that have occurred in Central Asia, one of the Earth’s most seismic areas, has found a pattern: in active geology of the same type and scope The types of earthquakes that occur within the structure are also the same - with similar sources, energies, vibrations, and repetition rates. This finding can significantly improve the accuracy of the range and contour of the demarcated earthquake risk area and more accurately predict the strength of the earthquake and other parameters of possible disasters. Gupé and his students have accurately predicted what happened in recent years