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为解决研制阶段装备群保障规模预测的问题,建立了基于保障活动流程的装备群保障规模预测模型.模型从装备群的使用任务入手,以研制阶段保障性分析和保障系统建模数据为输入,通过分析资源在保障活动中被占用或被消耗的定量关系,从占用型资源和消耗型资源两方面分别提供了由功能分析框图中各层保障活动的流程汇总保障活动资源需求的方法,对保障资源数量进行计算,进而依据这些资源的重量与体积参数预测装备群的保障规模.给出了某型机群保障规模预测的算例,验证了模型的合理性与工程适用性,能够为研制阶段装备保障的改进、系统部署性分析提供理论指导与技术支持.
In order to solve the problem of forecasting the scale of equipment support during the research and development stage, a scale prediction model of equipment support was established based on the process of support activities.From the use task of equipment group, the model takes the analysis of supportability and system modeling data as input, By analyzing the quantitative relationship between the resources being occupied or consumed in the security activities, the paper provides a summary of the resource requirements of the activities from the layers of the security activities in the functional analysis block from the occupied resources and the consumption-oriented resources respectively, The number of resources is calculated, and then according to the weight and volume parameters of these resources to predict the size of equipment support group.An example is given to predict the size of a certain type of fleet to verify the rationality of the model and project applicability, Support improvements, system deployment analysis provide theoretical guidance and technical support.