据三井物产公司有关部门预测,2003年世界铝锭需求将扩大,即使是去年很困难的中南美洲也将转为增加。但是,在中国、俄罗斯、东欧及非洲各国以外的地区,需求增长率将不超过GDP的增长率,特别是西方世界三大需求地区:美国、欧洲、日本需求增长率很低,仅为1～3％。总体来说,西方世界2003年铝锭的需求增长率将低于2002年,仅为2.8％。全世界的增长率为6.2％,总需求量预计为2680万吨。 在供应方面,巴西、印度、挪威等计划增产,但数量有限;美国的 According to Mitsui & Co.’s forecast, the demand for aluminum ingots in the world will widen in 2003, even though Central and South America, which was very difficult last year, will also see an increase. However, the demand growth rate will not exceed the growth rate of GDP in areas other than China, Russia, Eastern Europe and Africa, especially in the three major needs of the western world: the demand growth rate of the United States, Europe and Japan is very low, only 1 ~ 3%. In general, the growth rate of demand for aluminum ingots in the western world in 2003 will be lower than that of 2002, at 2.8%. The worldwide growth rate is 6.2% and the total demand is estimated at 26.8 million tons. On the supply side, Brazil, India, Norway and other plans to increase production, but a limited number; the United States