本文从医院管理的需要出发,对医院目标管理责任制中的主要目标指标进行统计预测。现就应用“趋势直线预测法”、“回归方程预测法”和“季节变动预测法”等统计预测技术中,诸如,预测公式、预测对象、基本步骤和计算举例等作一介绍。 This article starts with the needs of hospital management and makes statistical predictions about the main target indicators in the hospital’s target management responsibility system. The use of statistical forecasting techniques such as “trend linear prediction method”, “regression equation prediction method” and “seasonal variation forecasting method”, such as prediction formulas, prediction objects, basic steps, and calculation examples, are introduced.