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我国的积极财政政策从1998年的第二季度启动,到现在已经运行了5年多,在考虑到政策连续性的同时,有必要探讨一下政策的相机调整问题。从大趋势上讲,反周期宏观调控的基本目标一旦实现这个基本目标达到的主要标志应该是经济运行形成稳定的拐点那么扩张性政策的淡出就是一种必然的选择。中国经济的回升,在积极财政政策启动以后的第三年已表露迹象,2000年曾经有过重大的转机,但是以后又根据国际国内一些具体情况的变化继续坚持这一政策。在进入2003年以后,中国经济的回升已经经受过了 SARS 冲击
Our active fiscal policy started in the second quarter of 1998 and has now been in operation for more than five years. While taking into account the continuity of policies, it is necessary to discuss the camera adjustment policy. From the general trend, the main objective of the basic objective of macro-control of the counter-cyclical once it reaches this basic goal should be the turning point in the stable operation of the economy. Therefore, the expansion of the expansive policy is an inevitable choice. In the third year after the proactive fiscal policy started, the rebound in China showed signs of a major turning point in 2000, but it has since continued to adhere to this policy in light of some changes in the international and domestic contexts. After entering 2003, China’s economic recovery has already experienced the impact of SARS