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考虑到2009年各月的基数效应,2010年全社会用电量将呈现“前高后低”的总趋势,上半年增速将超过10%,下半年逐步回落。预计全年发电设备利用小时将在4500小时左右,与2009年基本持平或略有下降。2010年,全国电力供需总体平衡有余。受来水、电煤及天然气供应等不确定性因素影响,上海、江苏、浙江、湖北、湖南、江西、四川、重庆等地区部分时段电力供需偏紧,可能存在一定的电力电量缺口。
Taking into consideration the base effect of each month of 2009, the total electricity consumption of the whole society in 2010 will show a general trend of “high before low” and the growth rate will exceed 10% in the first half of this year and will gradually drop in the second half of the year. It is estimated that the annual utilization of power generation equipment will be around 4,500 hours, basically the same as that of 2009 or a slight decrease. In 2010, the overall balance between electricity supply and demand in the country was more than adequate. Affected by uncertainties such as incoming water, coal and natural gas supply, electricity supply and demand in parts of Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Hubei, Hunan, Jiangxi, Sichuan and Chongqing are likely to be tight. There may be some power shortage.