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从目前的市场来看,由于尿素价格已经处于低位,所以价格不会出现恐慌性下跌,但局部地区可能会跌破1500元/吨。总体来看,今年的尿素价格应该会维持1500~1600元/吨的低位运行。无论是开征增值税还是取消淡旺季的出口政策,这对市场来说都是利好。目前市场还处于观望期,一旦新的政策公布,这就意味着尿素的成本的增加,无论是国内贸易商还是国际贸易商的拿货积极性都会提高。
From the current market point of view, the price of urea is already low, so the price will not panic decline, but some areas may fall below 1,500 yuan / ton. Overall, this year’s urea prices should be maintained at 1500 ~ 1600 yuan / ton low operation. Whether it is the introduction of value-added tax or the elimination of the peak season export policy, which is good for the market. The current market is still in a wait-and-see period, once the new policy announced, which means that the increase in the cost of urea, both domestic traders and international traders will get goods initiative will increase.