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本文运用非竞争型投入产出表作为数据来源,测度消费对中国经济的拉动作用并进行国际比较。与其余经济大国相比,消费对中国经济的拉动作用较低;通过增强消费需求,中国经济有很大的增长潜力。将消费分解为居民消费和政府消费两部分后发现,1995-2005年,政府消费对中国经济的拉动作用小幅上升,而居民消费对中国经济的拉动作用大幅下降。上述结论表明:要增强消费对经济的拉动作用,关键是扩大居民消费需求,扭转居民消费对经济拉动作用下降的走势。
This paper uses the non-competitive input-output table as a data source to measure the stimulating effect of consumption on China’s economy and make an international comparison. Compared with the remaining economic powers, consumption has less effect on China’s economy. By boosting consumer demand, China’s economy has great potential for growth. After decomposing consumption into two parts: household consumption and government consumption, it was found that the stimulative effect of government consumption on China’s economy increased slightly from 1995 to 2005, while the effect of consumer spending on China’s economy dropped significantly. The above conclusion shows that in order to enhance the stimulating effect of consumption on the economy, the key is to expand the consumption demand of residents and reverse the declining trend of the stimulating effect on the economy by residents.