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使用LMDI分解方法,对全国能源消费总量影响因素进行分析的结果发现:按行业分解时,劳均资本与工业出口外贸依存度是总能耗增加的主要动因,而工业单位出口能耗变化则导致总能耗降低;按省区分解时,劳均资本与能源强度是影响总能耗的两大因素,但方向一正一负。西部地区能源强度高于东、中部地区,且下降速度缓慢,对西部地区总能耗增长的抑制作用较弱;为控制能源消费总量过快增长,短期内应重点降低工业、交通运输业能源强度,优化出口结构;长远而言,应加大产业结构和能源结构调整力度;而分地区来看,西部地区尤其应注重提高能源利用效率,加强与东、中部地区之间的技术交流与合作,走能源节约型和区域协调发展的道路。
Using LMDI method to analyze the influencing factors of the national total energy consumption, it is found that the dependence on the foreign capital of labor capital and industrial exports is the main reason for the increase of total energy consumption when the industries are decomposed, while the change of energy consumption per unit of export of industrial units Resulting in a decrease in total energy consumption. When decomposing by provinces and autonomous regions, the average capital and energy intensity per worker are the two major factors that affect the total energy consumption, but the directions are positive and negative. Energy intensity in the western region is higher than that in the eastern and central regions, and the rate of decline is slow, which has a weaker effect on the total energy consumption growth in the western region. To control the excessive growth of total energy consumption, energy intensity in the industrial and transportation industries should be reduced in the short term In the long run, industry structure and adjustment of energy structure should be intensified. In terms of regions, the western region should pay particular attention to improving energy efficiency and enhancing technical exchanges and cooperation with the eastern and central regions. Take the road of energy conservation and regional coordinated development.