美国经济持续稳健增长,经济中通货膨胀压力在短期内难以消除。美联储将继续升息,最终取消刺激性货币政策,布什政府的财政政策将以消减赤字作为首要目标。从中长期发展趋势看,美国经济已步入持续增长阶段,且未来数年内有望继续。主要原因是,劳动生产率保持较快提高,政府宏观调控能力增强,经济周期显著延长。 The sustained and steady growth of the U.S. economy and the pressure of inflation in the economy are hard to eliminate in the short term. The Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates, and ultimately to abolish stimulus monetary policy, the Bush administration’s fiscal policy will be deficit reduction as the primary goal. Looking from the long-term development trend, the U.S. economy has entered a phase of sustained growth and is expected to continue in the next few years. The main reason is that the productivity of labor has kept rising rapidly, the ability of the government in macroeconomic regulation and control has been enhanced, and the economic cycle has been significantly prolonged.