本文采用多元分析方法,借助计算机快速运算,对浙江渔场冬汛带鱼渔获量预报作了多种验算分析,结果表明:多元非线性回归及逐步回归分析用于冬汛带鱼渔获量预报较为适宜,所建方程的回归检验和独立样本检验较为理想,四年的预报正确率达95%以上,取得了较好的预报效果。目前,用本文方程预报能满足组织渔业生产的要求。 In this paper, by means of multivariate analysis and computerized fast computation, a variety of checking and analysis are made on the forecast of catch of winter octopus in Zhejiang fishery. The results show that it is more suitable to predict the catch of octopus by winter in winter by multivariate nonlinear regression and stepwise regression analysis. The regression test and independent sample test of the built equation are ideal, and the forecasting accuracy of the four years is above 95%, which has achieved good forecasting results. At present, the prediction of this equation can meet the requirements of the organization of fishery production.