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2016年成品油需求低速增长。其中,汽油、煤油呈现高增长态势,柴油需求延续小幅萎缩趋势。成品油资源过剩严重,净出口量大幅增长。展望2017年世界经济仍将温和低速增长,国内经济依旧承压。汽油消费量在车市降温的环境下增速放缓;柴油需求基本面仍然较弱,消费总量以降为主,全年需求增幅前高后低;煤油需求受益与航空需求强劲而保持高位运行。但由于炼能和加工量持续双增长,2017年资源过剩压力将进一步增大。
In 2016, the demand of refined oil products has been slowed down. Among them, gasoline, kerosene showed a high growth trend, diesel demand continued a slight contraction trend. There is a serious excess of refined oil resources and a sharp increase in net exports. Looking forward to 2017, the world economy will continue to grow moderately and at a low rate, and the domestic economy will remain under pressure. Gasoline consumption slowdown in the automobile market slowdown; diesel demand fundamentals are still weak, the total consumption to reduce the main, full-year demand growth after the high low; kerosene demand and aviation strong demand to maintain high operation. However, due to the continuous double growth of energy refining and processing capacity, the pressure of excess resources will further increase in 2017.