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在电力市场环境下,电力交易者最优竞价策略的主要思路有预测MCP方式、寻找博弈对策及市场均衡点方式和概率论数理统计及随机模拟方法。第3种方式是基于概率分析的竞价策略,本质上具有风险决策的意义,可以模拟竞争结果或预知价格风险,较为实用。发电企业在上网竞价的过程中,在制定发电计划时,其发电量有时间上的分解和空间上的分配,都是必须考虑风险因素的复杂的相互交错的过程。
Under the environment of electricity market, the main idea of the optimal bidding strategy for power traders is to predict the MCP mode, find the game countermeasure and the market equilibrium point method and the probability theory mathematical statistics and stochastic simulation methods. The third way is based on probability analysis of the bidding strategy, essentially the significance of risk decision-making, you can simulate the competition results or predict the price risk, more practical. During the bidding process of power generation enterprises, when generating power generation plans, the time-consuming decomposition and spatial distribution of power generation of power generation enterprises are complicated and interlaced processes that must consider the risk factors.