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拉美和加勒比地区经济从 2002年下半年开始复苏, 迄今已持续了3个年头,预计2006 年仍将保持较快增长的势头。在拉美和加勒比地区这一轮经济增长周期中,已显现出诸多过去少见或从未有过的正面特征:经济增长率超过世界经济平均水平,通货膨胀得到有效控制,财政状况良好,金融货币市场相对稳定,对外贸易顺差逐年扩大,社会问题得到一定程度缓解等等。所有这些特征表明,与 20世纪90年代以来的前两次经济复苏相比,拉美和加勒比地区这一轮经济复苏的基础更为稳固,持续的时间可能会更长,因而备受世人关注。本文就近年来拉美和加勒比地区经济贸易发展趋势及其特征, 试作初步分析。
The economy of Latin America and the Caribbean started to recover from the second half of 2002 and has lasted for three years now. It is estimated that the momentum of rapid growth in 2006 will still be maintained. In the cycle of economic growth in Latin America and the Caribbean, many positive features that have never seen before or have been seen have emerged: the rate of economic growth exceeds the average level of the world economy, the inflation is effectively controlled, the fiscal conditions are good, the financial and monetary markets Relatively stable, the foreign trade surplus has expanded year by year, social problems have been alleviated to a certain extent and so on. All of these characteristics show that Latin American and Caribbean economies have been more and more concerned about the global economic recovery than the previous two economic recovery measures since the 1990s. This round of economic recovery is more solidly based and may last longer. This article analyzes the development trend and characteristics of economic and trade in Latin America and the Caribbean in recent years.