一、战时经济实行计划管理的必然性战时经济是与战争时期的军事活动紧密相联系的。表面上看,由于军事活动是在敌对双方相互封锁消息的背景下进行的,具有很大的不确定性。然而,战争的进行通常都是经过精心的谋划和计算的。毛泽东同志在《论持久战》中就精辟地分析过军事活动计划性的可能,他说:没有事先的计划和准备,就不能获得战争的胜利。战争没有绝对的确实性,但不是没有某种程度的相对确实性。我之一方是比较确实的。敌之一方很不确实,但也有征兆可寻,有端倪可察,有前后现象可供思索,这就构成了某种程度的相对的确实性,战争的计 I. The Necessity of Planned Management of Wartime Economy Wartime economy was closely linked with the military activities during the war. On the surface, there is great uncertainty as military activity takes place in the context of the mutual blockade of hostile parties. However, the war is usually well planned and calculated. Comrade Mao Zedong analyzed the possibility of the planned nature of military activities in his article “On protracted protracted war.” He said: Without the prior plan and preparation, we will not be able to win the war. The war does not have absolute certainty, but it is not without some degree of relative certainty. One of my side is more true. One side of the enemy is very unconfirmed, but there are indications to be found, a clue can be observed, and there are things before and after that can be considered. This constitutes a certain degree of relative certainty. The plan of war