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以中国石油进口来源国为样本,综合考虑东道国国内生产总值、石油资源、东道国与中国经济贸易情况以及东道国政治与商业风险情况等因素,选择了17个变量,利用Heckman Two-Stage模型分析了这些因素对中国海外石油投资区位选择决策的影响.研究结论指出,中国海外石油投资国家选择与其在选定国家投资规模的影响因素有所不同.前者主要受东道国GDP规模、GDP增长率、腐败控制力度等的影响,后者则受东道国GDP规模、石油出口能力、经济稳定状况的影响更加显著.另外,东道国货币价值及东道国法律制度情况对两者都产生显著的影响,但作用正好相反.
Taking the source countries of China’s oil as samples, 17 variables were selected considering the host country’s gross domestic product, petroleum resources, the host country’s economic and trade relations with China, and the political and commercial risk in the host country. The Heckman Two-Stage model was used to analyze The impact of these factors on the decision-making of China’s overseas oil investment location.The study concludes that the factors influencing the choice of China’s overseas oil investment countries are different from those of the selected countries in terms of their investment scale.The former is mainly affected by the host country’s GDP scale, GDP growth rate, corruption control The latter is affected by the host country’s GDP, oil export capacity and economic stability more significantly.In addition, the host country’s monetary value and the legal system of the host country have a significant impact on both, but the opposite effect.