论文部分内容阅读
中共十八届五中全会对人口政策的再一次调整充分说明了我国人口年龄结构面临的老龄化和少子化风险,而与计划生育政策同阶段提出的改革开放政策实施至今,我国对外贸易迅猛发展,经常项目顺差大量累积,国际收支也处于失衡状态。本文通过对我国省际面板数据的实证研究,探究人口年龄结构变化对经常项目的影响,发现少年抚养比提高会恶化经常项目但老年抚养比的提高会改善经常项目。
Another adjustment of the population policy by the Fifth Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central Committee shows that the population age structure of our country is facing the risk of aging and fewer children. Since the implementation of the reform and opening up policy put forward at the same stage with the one in the family planning policy, the rapid development of China’s foreign trade , A large number of current account surplus accumulated, the balance of payments is also in an imbalance. Through the empirical study on the panel data of China’s provinces, this paper explores the impact of changes in the population age structure on the current account and finds that the improvement of the dependency ratio of the juveniles will aggravate the current account, but the improvement of the dependency ratio of the elderly will improve the current account.