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近年来,中国和伊斯兰国家①贸易往来越来越紧密。伊斯兰国家对农产品巨大的、日益增长的进口需求是中国扩大农产品出口的有利条件,而中国农产品贸易市场多元化的战略要求和不断增加的贸易逆差是推动中国不断开拓伊斯兰国家农产品市场的重要力量。本文通过对2007—2011年伊斯兰国家和中国农产品贸易数据的分析,从伊斯兰国家进口结构和需求特征入手,结合中国农产品出口比较优势对中国拓展对伊斯兰国家农产品出口的贸易空间进行了分析。伊斯兰国家由于资源禀赋原因及经济、人口增长因素会有很大的农产品进口需求,这为中国凭借比较优势和相关支持政策进入该市场提供了很大的贸易空间。
In recent years, China and Islamic countries ① trade is getting closer and closer. The huge and growing import demand for agricultural products from Islamic countries is a favorable condition for China to expand its export of agricultural products. The diversified strategic requirements and the increasing trade deficit in China’s agricultural products market are important forces for China to continuously open up the agricultural market in Islamic countries. Based on the analysis of the agricultural product trade data between Islamic countries and China from 2007 to 2011, this article starts with the import structure and demand characteristics of Islamic countries and analyzes the trade space for China to expand the export of agricultural products to Islamic countries based on the comparative advantages of China’s agricultural exports. Islamic countries will have great import demand for agricultural products due to their resource endowments and their economic and population growth factors. This will provide China with ample room for trade to enter the market through comparative advantages and relevant supportive policies.