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本文以沙市市历年来的疟疾流行病学资料为依据,用指数曲线处理分析自1976年以来的疟疾发病率,评价结果认为过去的12年本市疟疾发病下降速度是遵循指数曲线规律的。提示如果能加强流动人口管理,开展后期监测,采取更切合实情的措施等可进一步加快疟疾发病的下降速率。
Based on the epidemiological data of malaria in Shashi City over the years, this paper analyzes the incidence of malaria since 1976 by means of exponential curve analysis. The evaluation results suggest that the decline rate of malaria incidence in this city in the past 12 years follows the exponential curve rule. It suggests that the rate of decline of malaria can be further accelerated if we can strengthen the management of floating population, carry out post-monitoring and adopt more realistic measures.