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新兴技术在相当大的程度上已成为一个地区乃至一个国家经济发展的驱动力,把握新兴技术经济效应具有重要意义。从新兴技术的内涵出发,分别从新兴技术经济效应的评估内容和评估方法两个方面,对新兴技术经济效应进行了阐述。在分析国内外学者对经济效应评估综述基础上,提出运用“震级法”评估新兴技术经济效应的设想,并具体描述了震级法的基本步骤,以期为下一步实证分析奠定基础。
To a large extent, emerging technologies have become the driving force of economic development in a region or even a country. It is of great significance to grasp the economic effects of emerging technologies. Starting from the connotation of emerging technologies, this paper expounds the economic effects of emerging technologies from two aspects of the assessment of the emerging economic effects of technology and the evaluation methods. On the basis of analyzing the domestic and foreign scholars’ summary of the evaluation of economic effects, this paper proposes the idea of using the “Magnitude Method” to evaluate the economic effects of emerging technologies, and describes the basic steps of the magnitude method in detail in order to lay the foundation for the next empirical analysis.