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文章基于出口的完全国内增加值和细分贸易数据,对我国近20年来的贸易模式变化进行考察。研究发现,在剔除进口中间投入品的贡献,用各部门的完全国内增加值系数对按Lall(2000)技术密集度商品分类的中国出口结构进行修整后,中国目前出口中占主导的仍是低技术产品而非高技术产品;同时,基于微观产品层面、细分贸易数据对中国进(出)口商品构成、技术含量及贸易品质的考察也表明,虽然中国的贸易模式正日益向更高层次发展,但中国的贸易模式与发达国家仍存在显著差距,中国的贸易模式并没有实现跨越式发展。
Based on the complete domestic value-added of exports and the breakdown of trade data, the article examines the changes of trade patterns in our country over the past 20 years. The study found that after excluding the contribution of imported intermediate inputs and tailoring the Chinese export structure classified according to Lall (2000) technology-intensive commodities by using the full value-added coefficient of each sector, the current dominant export in China is still low At the same time, the study of the composition, technical content and trade quality of China’s import and export commodities based on the micro-product level and the breakdown of trade data also shows that while China’s trade model is increasingly moving to a higher level However, there is still a significant gap between China’s trade pattern and the developed countries. China’s trade pattern has not achieved leapfrog development.