科技史上有几个著名的“预言”。100多年前,德国物理学家普朗克的老师菲利普·冯·约利教授曾忠告他,“物理学基本是一门已经完成了的科学”。1899年,美国专利局局长断言,“所有能够发明的,都已经发明了”。IBM董事长老沃森也曾预言,“全球计算机市场的规模是5台”。这些预言的失败,不是因为他们短视,而是因为社会经济发展的需求动力远远超出了所有人的预测,人类创新的潜能更远远超出了所有人 There are several famous “prophecies” in the history of science and technology. More than 100 years ago Professor Philippe von Liuli, a German physicist Planck, once advised him that “physics is basically a science that has already been completed.” In 1899, the U.S. Patent Office affirmed that “all that can be invented has been invented.” IBM chairman Watson also predicted that “the size of the global computer market is five”. The failure of these prophecies is not because of their shortsightedness, but because the demand impetus for socio-economic development far exceeds everyone's prediction and the potential for human innovation extends far beyond all