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第三个系统是时向系统 时向系统说的是,不管纵向系统,还是横向系统,都不是静止不变的,而是动态向前的。随着科学技术进步、生产方式演进等等,构成系统的环节都在变化着;同时,各个环节发展也不平衡,当一个“瓶颈”解决了,另一个系统或环节又成了新的“瓶颈”。优秀的领导者要及时洞察潜在的“瓶颈”,抓住此时此地的“瓶颈”,采取有效的对策。 因此,时向系统要求我们要高度重视预测和规划工作。没有预测就没有领导。但是,现代预测是一门复杂高深的科学。据统计,现有预测方法多达二百来种,常用的也有二三十种,需要一批专家掌握和研
The third system is the time-to-system The time-to-system is that neither the longitudinal system nor the horizontal system is static and dynamic. With the advancement of science and technology and the evolution of production methods, the links that make up the system are changing. At the same time, the development of each link is not balanced. When a bottleneck is resolved, another system or link becomes a new bottleneck. “. Good leaders need to gain insights into potential ”bottleneck“ in a timely manner, seize the ”bottleneck" at this time and take effective countermeasures. Therefore, the time-phased system requires us to attach great importance to forecasting and planning work. There is no leadership without prediction. However, modern forecasting is a complicated and advanced science. According to statistics, there are up to 200 kinds of forecasting methods available, and there are also 20 or 30 kinds of commonly used forecasting methods that require a group of experts to master and research.