Multimedia health risk assessment: A case study of scenario-uncertainty

来源 :中南大学学报(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:longlaotest1
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
Assisted by framework of multimedia total exposure model for hazard waste sites (CalTOX),potential influences of scenario-uncertainty on multimedia health risk assessment (MHRA) and decision-making were quantitatively analyzed in a primary extent under the Chinese scenario case by deliberately varying the two key scenario-elements,namely conceptual exposure pathways combination and aim receptor cohorts choice.Results show that the independent change of one exposure pathway or receptor cohort could lead variation of MHRA results in the range of 3.6× 10 6- 1.4× 10-5 or 6.7 × 10-6-2.3 × 10-5.And randomly simultaneous change of those two elements could lead variation of MHRA results at the range of 7.7× 10-8-2.3× 10-5.On the basis of the corresponding sensitivity analysis,pathways which made a valid contribution to the final modeling risk value occupied only 16.7% of all considered pathways.Afterwards,comparative analysis between influence of parameter-uncertainty and influence of scenario-uncertainty was made.In consideration of interrelationship among all types of uncertainties and financial reasonability during MHRA procedures,the integrated method how to optimize the entire procedures of MHRA was presented innovatively based on sensitivity analysis,scenario-discussion and nest Monte Carlo simulation or fuzzy mathematics.
其他文献
目前,人们越来越关注能源和环保问题,世界各国都在研究无污染、节能和可再生的新能源工程技术。因地源热泵系统显著的节能及环保效益,它已成为各国学者的研究热点。但是有关地热
To reduce the fuel consumption and emissions and also enhance the molten aluminum quality,a mathematical model with user-developed melting model and bing capaci
代数的群作用和Hopf代数作用理论是代数学中的重要研究内容,有许多数学工作者从事这方面的研究。有关Hopf代数在代数上的作用的概念及理论最初是由Beattie于1976年在文献[1,2]
巴莱多定律告诉人们:任何事物都有关键的少数和次要的多数。做任何事情,只要抓住了关键的少数就意味着基本解决了该事情。为提高高职院校专业理论教学效果,在这里尝试运用巴莱多
Matrix effects can significantly hamper the accuracy and precision of the analysis results of perfluorinated acids (PFAs) in environmental solid samples.Several
随着现代技术的发展,高科技已经与社会生活紧密相连。在化学工业中,纯碱是产量最大的产品,也是用途极其广泛的工业原料。烧碱应用于纺织,染料,农药等工业部门,是人类日常生活中不可
Cation ion-exchange resin particles (CERP)/polyethersulfone (PES) hybrid catalytic membranes were prepared by immerse phase inversion for the esterification of
在当前严峻的就业环境中,新时期大学生的就业观也发生了改变,就业问题也越来越多。本文针对大学生就业观存在的问题进行分析,并探讨有效的引导对策,为树立大学生正确的就业观,解决
建筑电气安装是一项综合性很强、技术性复杂及影响因素较多的工程,在安装过程中出现的各种问题都会影响其安装质量和进度,甚至是整个工程的施工质量。只有找到问题所在,分析原因
今天的网络运营商更注重提高已有设备的应用,而在城域网成为光通信的热门后,以太网更成为最重要的城域网解决方案.网络运营商需要采用更新的技术提高现有网络数据服务的赢利