本文从最优货币区理论出发,通过对两岸四地十五年经济增长数据的分析,发现两岸四地在经济增长上存在较大差异。本文还建立了一个博弈模型,对模型分析的结果是:在两个经济增长差异较大的国家或地区不可能建立稳定的货币区。本文认为,基于两岸四地在经济增长上存在着较大差异,目前还不具备建立稳定货币区的条件。 Starting from the theory of the optimal currency area, this paper analyzes the data of economic growth during the past 15 years across the Strait and finds that there is a big difference in economic growth between the four sides of the Taiwan Straits. The article also establishes a game model. The result of the model analysis is that it is impossible to establish a stable currency zone in the two countries with large differences in economic growth. This paper argues that based on the fact that there is a big difference in economic growth between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, the conditions for establishing a stable monetary zone are not yet available.