近年来,东亚经济的崛起引起国际社会热切关注,并就其成因及前景展开了激烈争论。有一个问题是,1996年东亚出口与经济增长同步下滑,这是否意味着“东亚奇迹”的消失呢?否!“东亚奇迹”远远没有结束,关键在于人们如何奋起迎接调整与改革的挑战。崛起的轨迹近二三十年,东亚“四小”、东盟等发展中国家(地区),虽遭中东“石油冲击”、西方经济危机和贸易保护主义打击,但由于能顺应世界经济形势变化,根据自身优势,采取适合的发展战略,因而取得了较快的经济增长。如60年代西方国家经济增长率为4.9%,“四小”则为9.0%,几乎高出一倍。70年代西方世界为“石油 In recent years, the rise of East Asia’s economy has drawn the fervent concern of the international community and heated arguments on its causes and prospects. One of the problems is that the steady decline in East Asia’s exports and economic growth in 1996 means that the disappearance of the ”East Asian miracle“ is far from over. The crux of the problem lies in how people are ready to adjust to The challenge of reform. The trajectory of the rise in recent two decades, East Asia ”Four Small “, ASEAN and other developing countries (regions), despite the Middle East ”oil shock “, the Western economic crisis and protectionism against the economy, but can adapt to the world economy As the situation changes, we have adopted a suitable development strategy based on our own advantages and have thus achieved rapid economic growth. For example, the economic growth rate in Western countries in the 1960s was 4.9%, while that in the ”four smalls" was almost 9.0%, almost double that of the other four countries. Western world for the 70’s oil