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越是近期的全球预测,越趋于悲观。中国抵御经济衰退的能力和机制仍有短板,面临的风险不能低估工业产品输出量自去年5月以来就没有再增加过。俄经济发展部的数据显示,10月份出口额环比下降11.2%,贸易顺差环比下降52%。俄联邦国家统计局2月16日公布的数据显示,今年1月份俄工业生产同比下降16%,为15年来最大单月降幅。俄国内生产总值2008年增长5.6%,增速比上年下降2.5个百分点。
The more recent global forecasts, the more pessimistic. China still has shortcomings in its ability and mechanism to withstand the economic downturn. The risks it faces can not be underestimated. The output of industrial products has not increased since May last year. According to data from the Russian Ministry of Economic Development, the volume of exports in October dropped 11.2% from the previous month and the trade surplus dropped 52% from the previous month. Data released by the Russian Federal Institute of Statistics on February 16 showed that the industrial production in Russia in January dropped by 16% from a year earlier, the largest single-month drop in 15 years. Russia’s GDP increased by 5.6% in 2008, a deceleration of 2.5 percentage points from the previous year.