受宏观经济形势、玉米与小麦比价变化等影响,预计2014/2015年度国内小麦消费量将保持基本稳定。其中,口粮需求随人口增加继续呈刚性增长态势,但增速放缓;由于玉米价格表现强势,加之优质玉米供应紧张,新小麦质价优势显现,部分饲料企业采购积极,饲用小麦需求有所抬升,但长期看,受养殖业仍不景气、玉米库存水平较高及新玉米减产预期下降等影响,预计年 Affected by the macroeconomic situation, changes in the parity of corn and wheat, domestic wheat consumption is expected to remain basically stable in 2014/2015. Among them, the demand for rations continued to show a rigid growth trend with the increase of population, but the growth rate slowed down. Due to the strong price performance of corn and the tight supply of high-quality corn, the price advantage of new wheat emerged. Some feed enterprises purchased actively and the demand for feed wheat was somewhat However, in the long run, due to the still sluggish aquaculture, higher corn stocks and the expected drop in new corn production, the estimated annual