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一、市场需求总体趋稳,2013经济增长率预计在7.5%～8%1.世界经济低位震荡调整,出口增幅预计在10%左右。2013年政治周期对世界经济的影响大体结束,债务危机继续发酵,量化宽松货币政策将使货币发行量不断增加,通货膨胀阴影挥之不去。受就业和收入、信用透支能力的制约,预计美欧市场需求总体仍将保持在较低增长水平,房地产、制造业以致整个实体经济的恢复之路艰难而漫长
First, the market demand has generally stabilized. The economic growth rate in 2013 is expected to be between 7.5% and 8% .1 The world economy is undergoing a period of low volatility adjustment and its export growth is expected to be around 10%. The impact of the political cycle on the world economy in 2013 was largely over. The debt crisis continued to be fermented. Quantitative easing monetary policy will continue to increase the circulation of currency and lighten the shadow of inflation. Restricted by employment and income, credit overdraft capacity, the overall market demand in the United States and Europe is expected to remain at a relatively low level of growth. The recovery of the real economy as a whole in real estate and manufacturing industry is difficult and long