论文部分内容阅读
协调资源消耗与经济增长的关系,是社会经济可持续发展过程中面临的重要问题。本文综合运用生态足迹、协整理论及误差修正模型,实证了安徽省资源消耗与经济增长之间的关系。在计算1990～2004年安徽省各项生态足迹的基础上,分析了GDP与各种足迹之间的长期均衡关系。结果表明GDP分别与总生态足迹、能源足迹、水域足迹之间存在协整关系,而与耕地足迹、草地足迹、林地足迹、建筑足迹不存在协整关系,说明安徽省经济发展属于能源、资源消耗型,增加1%的GDP产出需要增加0.58%的生态足迹,且分别需要增加0.10%的能源足迹和0.32%的水域足迹。据此提出了转变经济发展方式,实现安徽省经济可持续发展的政策建议。
Coordinating the relationship between resource consumption and economic growth is an important issue in the process of sustainable social and economic development. This paper comprehensively uses the ecological footprint, cointegration theory and error correction model to verify the relationship between resource consumption and economic growth in Anhui Province. Based on the calculation of various ecological footprint in Anhui Province from 1990 to 2004, the long-term equilibrium relationship between GDP and various footprints is analyzed. The results show that there is a cointegration relation between GDP and total ecological footprint, energy footprint and water footprint, respectively, while there is no cointegration relationship between cultivated land footprint, grassland footprint, woodland footprint and building footprint, indicating that economic development in Anhui Province belongs to energy and resource consumption An increase of 1% of GDP output requires an increase of 0.58% of the ecological footprint and an increase of 0.10% of the energy footprint and 0.32% of the water footprint, respectively. Based on this, the policy suggestions of transforming economic development mode and realizing the sustainable development of economy in Anhui Province are put forward.